Let’s Gamble!!! MLB Season Win Totals

Baseball and Bullshit is the 108’s thing, but Gambling is mixed in there somewhere…..so this weekend, (3 day weekend, YAY! YAY! President’s Day!!!) yours truly, the BeefLoaf took a look at MLB Season Win totals.  This is for entertainment purposes only….but you can bet that I’ll end up with some scheckels on a few of these teams.
Detroit Tigers UNDER 68.5
Last year the mess that was the 2nd half Tigers put on a full out assault on seeking the #1 pick and they got there by being devastatingly bad in the 2nd half.  I don’t expect them to get any better this year as what remains of their aging starts are a year older and they are very likely to look to trade anything with promise and not enough service time to make it to the next good Tigers team (I’m looking at you Michael Fulmer).  This is a super lox bet and probably the best bet of the group.  It has already been bet down to 68 where I can find it, but it should still be plenty good.  Miguel Cabrera would need to Triple Crown this bish again to keep them from losing enough to cash this ticket.
Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 85.5
Atlanta Braves v Arizona Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks had a great year last year, but a little too much voodoo magic propelled them there.  JD Martinez hit like Babe F’n Ruth in the 2nd half from them….he’s no longer there and the rest of the NL West is getting better around them.  I actually like their pitching staff okay, but I could see this team regress back to under .500…..the Giants def upgraded in the offseason, Rox upgraded, even the Padres put their money where their damn mouth is and added Eric Hosmer.  This could be a tough year for the D’backs.
Oakland Athletics OVER 74.5 
I love my wife….and more impressive than how much I love my wife is how much I trust my wife.  Always have, always will….that being said, as I often tell Biguns “I trust Billy Beane more than I trust my wife!”  That’s the crux of my bet here with the A’s.  Sure the AL West has gotten tougher since last year, but so have the A’s.  I know Billy Beane fucked up the Josh Donaldson trade (Brett Lawrie #RIPInPeace) but he’s allowed a stinker here and there.  The A’s have a good team this year, it isn’t filled with superstars, but it is filled with good solid players.  They might also get some bumps from young players to solidify a solid core.  There isn’t a playoff team here unless one of the Matt’s becomes a total monster (Globo Gym has Laser, Blazer and all kinds of Azers’….the A’s have the Matt’s).  It’ll be fun peeking in at those box scores from the late night games and watching me cash this unsuspecting ticket.
Philadelphia Phillies OVER 75.5
I’m not sure the Gabe Kapler managerial reign (or as I like to call it, the Tony Little regime) will bear as much fruit as some folks in the media who abso-fucking-lutely love the hire!!!  But this team has a good amount of talent.  You know you are going down the right path when your kids are coming up and pushing out okay MLB regulars from their spots and you are signing a big bat and need to move around another big bat to accomodate that player.  The young pitching also has room to take a step here AND it just wouldn’t surprise me if the Phils spent some additional $$ on one more starter out in the depressed market place.
Tampa Bay Rays OVER 77.5
This is sort of a contrarian pick as I think most people look at the AL East and see the Red Sox / Yankees domination and would be scared away.  This number also could move lower based on the recent Rays transactions (which truth be told I don’t think move this number in reality at all).  The Rays have a solid young corp of talent, with or without the recent players they have jettisoned (including Evan Longoria).  I think, this bet will likely come down to how long Brent Honeywell spends in the minors this year.  The Rays have the young pitching / talent to surprise, but they are also a team that likes their corporate welfare and their cost controlled players.  In a similar way to why I don’t like the D’backs voodoo magic, I do like the Rays and suspect that they’ll come through and be in the wild card race into September.
– BeefLoaf



Big Frank’s Big Money Maker

Let me kick this off by saying that I love Frank Thomas.  I love that he went into the Hall of Fame and named every one of his teammates.  I love all the dingers I watched him hit as a young Sox fan.  I love all the scandalous tales I hear about his off the field exploits.  I love that he played college football.  I love that he was sweating like a whore in church when his statue was presented, because they made him wear a suit on a 105 degree day.  I love pretty much everything about Frank, except one thing.  Frank Thomas the entrepreneur.

Now I get it, if you have money, people will constantly come at you with insane ideas that they’d like you to fund.  And I’ll give Frank the benefit of the doubt and assume that’s what is at play here.  Whether it be the ridiculous record  label he started.  The song about “hit me on my pager” has aged very well.  Or his beer that most people compared to either malt liquor or Icehouse.  Two Chorizy-E faves, but definitely not for the masses.  Or his restaurants, which as you may have heard, had the last one close its doors earlier this month.

When this closed, you saw a number of people on social media jump to Frank with the next business venture he should get involved with.  All fabulous ideas, I am sure.  However, maybe let’s not have Frank sink any more money into a business.  Maybe, just maybe, let’s have Frank do some other things that can still be fun for everyone, but can line his pockets a bit.

First up, he should take a Shaq-esque approach to commercials.  We all love the boner pill one he’s got on the air right now, so why not keep the ball rolling.  Take over whatever bull shit commercials would go to Eddie and Jobo.  Wherever there is going to be a local spot featuring Steve Harvey, switch that to Frank.  Whenever you’re gonna have a gross looking 900 yr old former athlete or coach pushing wine at Binny’s, get the Big Hurt instead.

Next, we need some special appearances.  Obviously these are paid appearances.  To think of a few options.  Take Big Frank over to Grandstand when it’s fully stocked and we’ll play a game of how many aisles Frank can actually squeeze through.  Bring him to a tailgate to bust fluorescent light bulbs over the heads of Sox Mafia.  Get him over to The BallPark Pub to bet on which commercial will be next with the Second City Sports guys.  And most definitely get him to Baderbrau for the next wrestling event and have him body slam Ronnie Woo Woo.

And if none of that tickles his fancy, and he wants to keep burning cash, he can partner with us and open the 108 Lounge in the old Ramova Theater.

The 5 – All the Kids are Right!!

This is the first article for the Section 108 blog that’s ever been conceived by a child.  That’s right, 108’s very own Bonita Steakie with a contribution to the blog (penned by BeefLoaf, annotated by Bonita Steakie).
We were heading home from a donut run to Bridgeport Bakery (my fat dad wasn’t allowed to have any donuts) when I realized, I could write an article for the 108, and it would be about all the things the White Sox should do for the kids that attend the games.
5. Stuffed Animal Give Away – Each Sunday game, the White Sox should give away a stuffed animal.  I like Southpaw, and my dad is always telling me about these other monsters that used to be the mascot Ribbie and Rhubarb, so maybe those two and possibly just some other animals dressed up in Sox jerseys.  That would be so cool, although I guess one concern would be that MySoxSummer would line up an army of kids and pay them to get the Stuffed Animal Give Away so that he could get all of the stuffed animals before my daddy takes me to the ballpark.


4. White Sox Themed Pokemon Go characters inside the stadium – I’m not sure if most of you know this, but 8 year olds love Pokemon Go.  I even make my dad take me out in the snow to hunt for Pokemon Go characters.  I think the White Sox should get special Pokemon Go White Sox characters created for inside the park.  Just think, 100 hundred 7-12 year olds could roam the ballpark looking for a Pikachu with Chris Sale‘s head on it, or something like that.
3. $1 Dip N Dots – If the adults can get $1 hot dogs on Wednesday nights, the kids should get a $1 Sunday treat, I nominate Dip N Dots (although Cotton Candy would also work).
2. Sox Win / Kids Win – If the Sox win on Sundays how about a Southpaw t-shirt to all the kids as they exit.  This means, however, that like yours truly when I am hanging with the 108 Sunday Funday crew, you have to stay till the end of the game.  That is no problem for me, as I like to race my daddy down the concourse after the game and force him to puff on his inhaler once he hits the gate.  PS, I always win too!!! and I always tell him “What took you so long?!?!?!”
1. Slide, like the Brewers Park, except kids can ride it all throughout the game and it empties into a bounce house – I think this is my best and most fun idea, think about unlimited slide rides down into a bounce house for kids.  My daddy told me that the owner of the White Sox doesn’t like to spend money on risky stuff like that last key free agent that could’ve lead the Chris Sale White Sox teams, whatever that means.  Either way, this would be great as is, but it could also be pretty fun if it was a water slide that lead to a small water park for kids.  C’mon WHITE SOX!!! Make it happen!!
– Bonita Steakie

The One-Hitter Hector Santiago

This is the One-Hitter, don’t forget to exhale……
The White Sox signed an old friend to a minor league deal this week, one Hector Santiago….do you remember Hector Santiago?  In 2012 he came onto the scene bum-rushing his way into the closer role to start the season.  After a few shaky performances, he was outta that role and into a more permanent relief role, before the White Sox finally decided to give him a shot as a starter.  At the end of 2012 and through 2013 he had okay results as a starter, but enough promise that the White Sox were able to send him to the Los Angeles Angeles of Anaheim Los Angeles, in a deal that got the White Sox Adam Eaton.  Since leaving the White Sox he had two decent years in LAA, including one all-star appearance and two gauge your eyeballs out BAAAAAAD seasons in Minnesota.  All the while kicking the White Sox asses materially every time he faces them.
So what’s he here for?  I thought the White Sox have binders full of young pitchers.
The White Sox are flush with young pitching, he’s just here as an insurance policy on a couple of those “battled tested” (read: OLD, INJURED) starters that are still hanging around (side-eyes Miguel Gonzalez and James Shields). I don’t expect you see him taking up valuable development time on the big club from anyone that matters.  This is a case of a guy who has had a couple of bad years that is probably happy to have a job anywhere.  This is a guy that had some of his greatest success working under this regime and probably likes his chances of landing employment in the shambles that are the White Sox bullpen and back end of the starting rotation.  IF…..and it’s a BIG OLE IF, Hector Santiago makes this team, expect his role to look at lot like DJ Carrasco circa 2009, long relief appearances, the occasional spot start when you have an injury, that sort of thing.  It’s a nice role for him and something our White Sox can definitely use.
– BeefLoaf 

Why Is Matt Davidson so LOVED?!?!!?


Remember the skit from Chappelle’s Show with Negrodamus?  It didn’t run that many times, but I enjoyed the heck out of it when it did run.  There was a question from the studio audience for Negrodamus about why White People love Wayne Brady so much?  I sorta started thinking about this skit after I put up a poll about who should DH for the White Sox this season and I was hella surprised that Matt Davidson was the resounding winner.
Poll 2
Just in case you are new here, I’m not really a big fan of Frosty, at least as a baseball player, I’m sure otherwise he’s a really swell guy.  So I reached out to the fine and certainly mentally stable folks of White Sox Twitter to help me answer the question, “Why is Matt Davidson so LOVED!?!?!?”


Thick lustrous hair is important to me (and you)
Hair 2
From what I can tell, the hair is a BIG sell with basically everyone.  The 108ers, tend to be pro-thick lustrous hair and Frosty has it in bulk.  The only problem with having “good hair” in baseball is that it is hidden under a portion of the required big league uniform (either hat or batting helmet).  That precludes the dude’s greatest asset from being shown on the regular.  I sort of wonder if he could get away with going hatless in the field, just to show his platinum mop off to the fans.
He’s a handsome kid
Ladies, you have spoken, and the answer is a loud and resounding, he’s handsome, he should stay.  The only problem with this is that we already have at least 3 young handsome fellas on this team that are better ballplayers, Nicky “Steaks” Delmonico, Tim Anderson and Yoan Moncada……and several more on the way in the next few waves of prospects.  I get where you are coming from, but Frosty will soon just be another face in the crowd.  Truth be told, when he’s just a handsome unemployed guy, you ladies are much more likely to have a chance to be his sugar mama!
He’s NOT Jeff Keppinger
Remember Jeff Keppinger?  This was one of the illustrious free agent signings by Rick Hahn to plug up the holes on a star laiden team (the HahnBots are rushing to the interwebs to see if this is true).  He was AWFUL….and he was a PRICK, leading to him being outright released early into a long term contract.  The point is, since Joe Crede‘s back failed, the White Sox have had a stream of blech rushing through this position, so maybe fans just saw a guy who wasn’t as bad as these other chumps (but still pretty bad) and were okay with him trotting out there on a daily basis.
Chicks (actually EVERYONE) Dig the Long Ball
The guy crushes some big home runs and I think we are all susceptible to tape measure shots and the dreamcasting that goes along with those majestic blasts.  The only problem with this is that EVERYONE is hitting lots of home runs these days and you need to be able to do something else…..below is the “Something Else” chart of things that Matt Davidson can do besides hit bombs.
Matty D
The average fan is more optimistic and forgiving than the 108ers
College Age Fridge Perry thinks it couldn’t hurt to give Matty D one more look this season.
I think the average fan just wants him to succeed, therefore, they are willing to wait on him attempting to succeed, regardless of opportunity costs.  You can see what the “best case” scenarios of his upside are getting in the free agent market, Logan Morrison is still out there, Todd Frazier just got 2 yrs and $17M, so the 1b / 3b with lots of strike outs and some HR’s isn’t really in demand, so if he basically crushes his upside, he’s still not that terribly valuable.  This is why you see a lot of people saying to let Yolmer play 3b, he’ll at least play respectable defense and that’s generally a good strategy with a stream of young pitching on its way.  Also, Yolmer should have some trade value as a utility player for a contender.
Look, personally, I’d love it if Matt Davidson became as prolific at crushing bombs as let’s say Khris Davis in Oakland and basically forced his way into the lineup, that would be a ton of fun, but for now, I will continue to sit here and enjoy the many fun responses from the White Sox fan base on Frosty.
– BeefLoaf

Let’s Talk About – Chance (The Rapper).

Let’s talk about Chance The Rapper.  Remember that guy?


He’s hella popular with the kids, not so popular with our governor, an all around seemingly awesome guy with a huge heart.  Seems like he uses his powers for good, which is refreshing as the state of popular rap music seems to be trending down.  Fuck.  That makes me sound old, but alas, it is what it is.

Why are we talking about Chance?  Well, I still feed the trolls from time to time over on Reddit and a discussion came up that started about how Brooks Boyer needed to start marketing this team better.  We can talk about that at a later date, but Chance came up in the convo and specifically, the wiff from the White Sox.  I am all about calling out the Sox when something that was done was a bad move, but I have a hard time faulting the White Sox for not going all FB Official with our main man Chance. Have no idea what I am talking about?  Watch this.


I want to clarify my position before we begin this discussion.  I like Chance.  I like what he is doing for the City of Chicago, specifically the kids in school.  I love that he used to rock and rep the Sox cap ALL THE TIME.   A black Sox cap is true hip-hop classic, for sure speaks volumes about the guy wearing it.  I liked the idea of having a non-baseball player as an ambassador for the team.  So I get why it would have worked well, especially in hindsight, but I can fully see why the Sox never pulled the trigger.  Let’s go over some things.

The Winter Hat Incident. 

Seems like all this talk was going down in 2015. Sox let him toss a first pitch.  Let him do a voiceover on an opening day video.  They collaborated with New Era on some sweet hats. Seemed like they had a good relationship.  Sox flirt with the idea of making him an ambassador, then this shit happens (Disclaimer – I don’t know the timing of any of these talks.  Shit could have been dead in the water by this time.  But for my story purposes this was done right at the same time) 


Oddly the Cubs hat is the second most disturbing thing in this pic, cause the chubby-bad hair Michael Kopech look-a-like is right behind him and the fact that they are at a PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS GAME.   Who the fuck goes there?  Ugh.

Can you imagine the firestorm that would rain down in Twitter-verse had this happened after they became FB Official? Dear God.  I can only imagine the outpour of love and understanding from our north neighbors.


So this was a lapse of judgement by Chance, it alone, was a big deal in some circles of Sox fans.  And this was just a HAT.  Sox fans are crazy passionate and very protective of the team and people that represent the team.  Don’t believe me?  We still love about every player that ever played for the team, hell, most of us still defend Gordon Beckham because he “had a great glove”. Very Engel-like.  So this is a major no-no.  Sox fans do take it serious, sad (sometimes) but true.

If you ran the White Sox would you have taken a chance on Chance?  I think that I would have, but I don’t have much to lose. But it’s a risk when you have a VERY FUCKING VALUABLE company.  Let’s take a look at a few more things.


The White Sox have image problems as it is.  Location.  Ligues’. Location. The location part isn’t even true as if Bridgeport is the hood, sheeeeeeeeee-it, pay my mortgage.  While rap has been around forever, it still isn’t that respected by the mass populous.  Which is fantastic.  The yutes love it, I love it, but my dad would rather listen to a guy with a harmonica with a guitar.

And who is the fanbase that spends money?  A VOCAL fanbase that misses the AC/DC intro.  Ye old Pirates of the Caribbean intro.  The diamond Sox patch on the road unis.  You think they’d be forward thinking enough to welcome Chance in with open arms?  Some would no doubt, but most of the hard core season ticket base wouldn’t IMO.  I could be way off, but I think I am closer than some would like to admit.



If you are picking a non-athlete to be an ambassador/spokesperson, you need to vet the shit out of that person.  In this day and age of people jumping in on causes (especially when that support just requires a retweet) people are quick to take sides.  There have been many cases when a public person has supported a person/cause online that turns out to be something other than what was represented.  Conversely in this day and age people forget quickly, but if you run a huge organization that sells tickets based on perception, do you wanna risk a slight bump that might turn some people off? Especially when you have some problems selling tix?  In two words- HELL NAH.

Example, I love fellow Big-Headed fan and 108 OG @ClassyTom24 from Rockford.  He’s got a great wife, kick ass dog, a new house with bar and seems like a very nice guy.  But I am not gonna hand him the electronic pulpit for the 108 and allow his actions to speak for us. AND WE ARE WORTH NOTHING (as the 108, in our personal life it’s Crystal and Caviar). @ClassyTom24 could lose his shit and start talking about how much he loves Bud Light and Cubbie blue.  Or Joe’s On Weed. The fucking Cubby Bear! Who knows?  His values might not line up with what we want to represent here at the 108. Which takes us to our next step.



I think the real details came down to money.  Chance is a smart (and generous) guy, but I am sure he is watching his bottom line.  He (rightfully so) would want some type of compensation for his repping the brand and doing things for the team.  Yes, he would bring in some dollars (more than what he would be paid I am guessing) but I wonder what that percentage is across the board.  Like, his sales or whatever would be in the single percentages of the total, hell maybe a fraction. Financially, it would be beneficial.  But having a few extra dollars when you have a pile worth the risk?


Continuing with the @ClassyTom24 example, we’d love to have the lock on all White Sox fans from Rockford. I am sure between him and @pitsshady would could lock them down no problem.  But what happens if  one of them goes off the edge? Maybe after one too many Christmas Bliss’ one of them decides they wanna go streaking at a pre-school graduation.  We could really find some humor in that, but maybe the fine folks in Rockford would look down on it. Maybe they don’t like drunk people running naked around pre-schoolers. Then as stories seem to travel on the internet, by noon we are pedophiles in the 108.  No one will ever buy one of our sweet Slay-108’er shirts.

Point being, the less people you have that speak for your brand the better. The more money you make equals more risk. You wanna hedge that with as little risk as possible. It’s really that simple.

Tweet at me what you think about this! We’d (I’d) love to discuss it.


Current Events with Chorizy-E – Esteban Loaiza

If you haven’t been paying attention to the news today, Esteban Loaiza was arrested on drug charges. He had, in his possession, about 20 kilos of either cocaine or heroin. Details are still coming out and it’s worth following a more reputable news source than the 108 to get updates on this developing story.

To me, this is very weird and for some reason, I feel like a lot more is going to unravel as more information comes out. It’s just strange that someone who made $40 plus million in the MLB not too long ago has now turned drug trafficker. Maybe he has, I mean, there is a shit load of evidence. And weirder things have happened. I would have never assumed Sammy Sosa would become an effeminate white cowboy when he was done playing, but lo and behold:

But let’s not live in the negativity of this story. Let’s focus on something else, maybe a bold prediction. An important note here is that he was arrested in California. So here’s a Chorizy certified bold prediction: Esteban Loaiza will break all of Ricky Vaughn’s California Penal League records. Now I know Esteban is 46 years old, but the guy was still playing in the Mexican League in his early 40s. Not only that, it’s apparent that he has an excellent PED connection, which can only help. And remember, Ricky had the heat when he was in the CPL, but not the control. So these are attainable records. Who knows, with good behavior and OJ’s lawyers, he might be out to pitch in his 50s for Team Mexico in the WBC.


Up Your Bacon Game

Yeah, yeah, yeah, I know I am supposed to be trying to lose weight.  But that will not stop me from loving certain things like beer and, of course, bacon.  And as I sit here and think about bacon, I think that the Sox can do so much more with bacon than they do.

Bacon on a Stick

There is some novelty to the bacon on a stick thing, but at the end of the day, it’s a $5 piece of bacon.  It’s good bacon, but again, it’s just a single piece of bacon.  I think we can get something better than that.

Bacon Buns

Just travel a bit down the road from the park to Bridgeport Bakery and get some bacon buns.  This is a simple yet delicious creation of bacon inside a croissant style roll.  If they sold these by the bag at the park, they’d run out quicker than $1 hot dogs.

Bacon Burger

This may sounds simple, but I’m not talking about a burger with bacon.  I’m talking about a burger made of ground bacon.  And you know what, while we’re being health, let’s use a doughnut as the bun.  Probably a maple bacon doughnut.

Bacon Explosion

I gotta be honest, I have no idea how you’d eat this at the park.  But my lord this is a wild creation.  You should google this bad boy because I can’t do this greasy football justice with mere words.


The 5 – The Fifth Starter

As you probably know, Carlos Rodon will not start the year with the team as he rehabs.  That leaves us with a starting four of James Shields, Lucas Giolito, Reynaldo Lopez, and Miguel Gonzalez.  That gives us an open fifth spot to have fun with, so let’s run down some options.  Some less crazy than others:

  1. The Internal Option: This is probably the most obvious choice for the fifth spot as it won’t cost you a thing.  Carson Fulmer didn’t have a great time in the minors, but he had some good moments with the big league club.  The Sox may opt to work him some more in the minors, move him to the pen, or possibly take the fifth starter spot.

2. The Mexican Option: This is the Chorizy-E pick we discussed previously.  Jaime Garcia was once believed to have the stuff to be a top line starter, but those times are past.  He’s out there looking for work, but he has yet to find a team.  Not only that, there are quite a few better starters in front of him.  But with his name and possibly a good first half, he could be a movable piece for the Sox.

3. The Knuckle Option: Bring in old ass R.A. Dickey and have him loft some knuckleballs up there.  It might be fun to have a knuckleballer that’s better than Charlie Haeger.  At least he’ll put up somewhere around 200 innings that one of our young guys won’t have to.

4. The Beautiful Option: Bartolo Colon

4. The Freaky Option: Let’s get the freak in the rotation.  That’s right, Tim Lincecum to the Sox!  I talked about this previously and we’re referring to him as GloboGym’s pitcher.  He’s ripped now and hopefully roided out to the max.  This would just be such a ridiculous pick up, I want it to happen.

5. The Reclamation Option: This is a retread, and an old player, and he didn’t pitch last year.  But hey, Jake Peavy probably still has something left in the tank.  And if nothing else, those of you that are country fans can bump into him at Joe’s on a random night.


2018 White Sox – Projections – PECOTA

MLB: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians
Welcome in friends, it’s your pal BeefLoaf and I’m EXCITED!!! Today is PECOTA day!  Some of yous (this is Bridgeport, so don’t mind my dialect) are saying, “Hey ‘Loaf, wtf is PECOTA?”  Well, it’s a projection module that was originally the creation of one Nate Silver back when he was at Baseball Prospectus.  Remember Nate Silver? He was the smartest man on earth when his political projections put Obama in the White House and then he became the dumbest man on earth when he predicted that Hillary Clinton would beat Donald Trump in the 2016 election.  From what I have read, PECOTA has changed some over the years, so it’s not exactly what Nate Silver created way back when, but I figured you might be interested in the fact that the 538 guy is the original author of this projection module.
A note on projections in general, the folks who put these together, whether it be PECOTA, or ZIPS (which is Dan Szymborski’s baby) or any others widely available websites projections, are creating them for entertainment purposes ONLY.  I know, I know, you might say that the person’s (or website’s) REPUTATION is on the line, but it’s really not.  These are for creating content and aren’t too serious.  Professional Bettors (not the scamdicappers that are touting picks on twitter, real professional handicappers) and MLB teams themselves are likely to have much better versions of these sorts of projections, but since we aren’t allowed to see those proprietary items, here we are.  Also, these projections have a model with a methodology and the folks who put the projections together, feed inputs into the model and what comes out, comes out.  Baseball Prospectus doesn’t HATE the White Sox or certain players on the White Sox.  That has nothing to do with it, so don’t go all “Keith Law hates my team” on any of this shit……anywho, onto the weird, wild and fun projected White Sox stuff.
“Big Game James Shields Will lead the team with 189 IP and 30 Starts” 
When I first began reading this projection, I was starting to think that our own Chorizy-E had hijacked the PECOTA projections and inserted his own inflated projection for one Big Game James.  Then I kept reading and saw a projection of -0.7 WARP (which is BP’s version of WAR).  That’s more like it.  Truth be told, I’d be surprised if James racked up 30 starts and 189 innings while avoiding, injury, terribleness and cutness (aka JohnDanksness).
“PECOTA doesn’t believe in Yolmer’s or Leury’s breakouts from 2017”
Last year, Yolmer posted 1.6 WARP and Leury posted 1.4 WARP (these are Baseball Prospectus’ measures), in slightly more playing time projected for 2018 (remember, these measures generally go up if you accumulate more playing time), they are estimated to get 0.4 and 0.0 respectively.  Yep, replacement level players.
Reynaldo Lopez Only 19 starts”
Given the clear availability of starts based on the lack of off-season acquisitions (there basically hasn’t been anyone of note added to take away starts), this signals that the projection module either assumes a clear regression or significant injury risk that would preclude him from taking on a more normal workload.  Interesting note, PECOTA has Carson Fulmer basically getting the extra starts and not Michael Kopech (Kopech is estimated for 6 starts).
Charlie Tilson has been officially pronounced dead, RIPInPeace”
On a team with no true center fielder who can hit, sorry Adam Engel, the PECOTA has him for only 88 Plate Appearances, which looks like a September call-up situation and a relegation to Jacob May level org depth.  It is unfortunate too, because the guy has never gotten healthy since he got here in 2016.  Sucks!
Matt Davidson will once again show he should be DFA’d”
I know Matt Davidson hit a bunch of 1st half home runs in 2017.  I also know that Matt Davidson sucked in 2017.  PECOTA is projecting slightly less suckage (-0.4 WARP in 438 PA for 2018, compared with -1.1 in 443 PA in 2017), but suckage nonetheless.  If we see Matt Davidson get to play as much as PECOTA suggests, Rick Hahn gonna have a lot of esplainin’ to do.
– BeefLoaf